Restaurant Failure Rates and Challenges in Canada 2025

September 2, 2025

Table of contents

The restaurant industry has always been a challenging game. If you're a restaurant owner in Canada, you've likely heard the startling statistics about the restaurant failure rate in Canada. But what do those numbers really mean for your business in 2025? It's time to separate myth from reality and find a path forward.

While the notion that 90% of new restaurants fail in their first year is a persistent myth, the industry is far from easy. The true challenge isn't just about survival, but about thriving amidst fierce competition, rising costs, and shifting consumer expectations. This is the reality we face every day. It's about being smarter, more efficient, and more connected to our customers than ever before.

Key Takeaways

The narrative of mass restaurant closures can be discouraging. However, recent data suggests a more optimistic picture.

  • The Canadian restaurant industry is resilient and has shown signs of recovery. Still, it grapples with a variety of persistent issues that make profitability difficult.
  • A UC Berkeley study found that only about 17% of restaurants fail in their first year, a far cry from the commonly cited 90%. While this is reassuring, the five-year survival rate sits at around 51%, highlighting the long-term struggle.
  • The importance of strategic planning, adaptation, and understanding the real risks is the first step to mitigating them.

What Do Restaurant Failure Rates In Canada Mean?

Restaurant failure rates in Canada refer to the percentage of food service businesses that close within a certain time frame, typically within the first year or the first five years of operation. These numbers are often used to illustrate the challenges of sustaining a profitable restaurant over time.

Several factors contribute to these closures, including rising operational costs, poor location choices, inconsistent food quality, ineffective marketing, and inadequate financial planning. High failure rates don’t necessarily reflect a lack of effort or passion; more often, they point to the complexity of operating a restaurant in a competitive, rapidly changing environment.

Understanding these rates isn’t just about focusing on the negative; it’s about learning what contributes to long-term success and taking proactive steps to strengthen your foundation from day one.

Understanding the restaurant failure rate in Canada gives you insight into the broader risks within the industry. To truly address them, it’s essential to examine the day-to-day operational challenges that often lead to these outcomes.

Operational Challenges Faced by Restaurants In Canada

Running your restaurant in Canada means handling a constant stream of challenges, and you’re not alone in that. Here are some of the biggest issues you’re probably facing right now:

1. Third-Party Delivery Costs Eating into Your Margins: Yes, those delivery apps help you reach more customers, but giving away 15–30% of every order in commissions? That stings. It’s tough to grow when so much of your revenue goes out the door.

2. Staffing Struggles That Disrupt Service: Finding reliable and skilled staff has become an ongoing challenge. And when you’re short-handed, the pressure builds fast, impacting not just your operations but the guest experience you work so hard to deliver.

3. Rising Costs Across the Board: Ingredient prices, rent, and utilities are all going up. Even with price adjustments on your menu, maintaining your profitability can feel like walking a tightrope.

4. Keeping Up with Changing Customer Expectations: What guests wanted last year isn’t always what they want today. Staying relevant means continually updating your menu, marketing approach, and service style to keep pace with shifting consumer preferences.

5. Staying on Top of Regulatory Compliance: You deal with regulations at municipal, provincial, and federal levels, food safety, labor laws, licensing, and more. These rules change often, and keeping up takes time and resources. Still, staying compliant is non-negotiable if you want to avoid penalties and keep operating smoothly.

6. Managing Seasonal Ups and Downs: In regions with significant seasonal fluctuations, your business likely experiences both highs and lows. Tourist traffic, weather, and the availability of local ingredients all impact sales and supply. You need to plan ahead by adjusting inventory, staffing, and marketing to match the season.

7. Standing Out in a Competitive Market: The industry is crowded. New restaurants keep opening, and you’re constantly competing with chains and franchises. To stay relevant, you need to understand your customers, offer something unique, and adapt quickly to their needs.

The good news is we have more power than we think. We don’t have to be victims of these trends. By embracing smart strategies and the right technology, we can overcome the restaurant failure rate in Canada and challenges to build a more resilient business.

Also Read: 8 Essential Restaurant Management Tips for Daily Success

Strategies to Mitigate Failure Risks In Canada

This means moving beyond traditional methods and adopting a digital-first approach. It’s about owning our customer relationships, our data, and our brand. iOrders provides the platform to make this happen.

Challenge & Solution Table
Challenge & Solution Traditional Approach iOrders Solution
High Commission Fees Rely on third-party apps and accept high fees. Commission-Free Online Ordering: Keep 100 % of your revenue.
Delivery Logistics Hire in-house drivers or pay high third-party commissions. Delivery-as-a-Service: Use your own staff or white-label partners with a flat fee.
Customer Retention Hope customers return on their own. Loyalty & Rewards Programs: Build lasting relationships and encourage repeat business.
Operational Inefficiency Manage multiple tablets and manual order entry. POS Integration: Centralize all orders from one dashboard, reducing errors.
Marketing & Engagement Use generic, untargeted promotions. Smart Campaigns: Use data-driven insights to proactively engage customers.

Implementing the right strategies can reduce your risk of failure; however, long-term success also depends on how effectively you manage your finances. Let’s look at a few strategies in detail.

1. Effective Financial Management: Taking Control of Your Costs

Financial stability starts with managing what’s in your hands. After labor and food costs, third-party commissions are often your biggest expense. By switching to a commission-free online ordering system, such as the one offered by iOrders, you can protect your margins and retain more of your hard-earned revenue.

Instead of paying fees on every sale, you can accept direct orders through your own website or a custom-branded app. It’s a simple shift that puts you back in control and puts more money in your pocket. Want to see how much you could save? Book a demo to find out.

2. Innovative Marketing: Attracting and Retaining Customers

Building a strong brand identity and a clear value proposition is key to attracting the kind of guests you want and keeping them coming back. By regularly reviewing what you’re doing well and where there’s room to grow, you can stay aligned with customer expectations. Tools like automated feedback systems and quick SWOT check-ins help you adjust your strategy as trends shift.

Third-party apps put a wall between you and your customers, owning the relationship and the data. With a platform like iOrders, we get to build our own community. We can create personalized Loyalty and Rewards Programs, send targeted promotions via Managed Marketing Services, and grow our customer database with an AI-powered Review System. This helps us turn one-time buyers into loyal brand advocates.

3. Utilizing Technology to Improve Efficiency and Customer Experience

In a fast-paced kitchen, efficiency isn’t a luxury; it’s a necessity. iOrders connects directly to your POS, so whether an order comes in for dine-in, pickup, or delivery, it flows through a single, easy-to-manage dashboard.

That means fewer errors, faster service, and more time to focus on what really matters: serving great food and creating memorable guest experiences.

Also Read: 13 Best Ways to Make Your Restaurant Sustainable

Future Prospects and Opportunities

Despite the challenges, the Canadian restaurant industry is filled with opportunities for those willing to adapt and innovate.

  • Emerging Trends: The demand for new dining experiences continues to grow. Trends such as health-conscious options, sustainability, and plant-based menus present new avenues for growth.
  • The Role of AI: As technology continues to grow, AI will play an increasingly significant role in our industry. Platforms with an AI-powered review system will help us manage customer feedback effortlessly, enabling us to create brand-aligned responses to comments and FAQs.
  • Importance of Adaptability: The future belongs to restaurants that are agile and willing to innovate. By embracing digital solutions, we can better serve our customers, reduce costs, and build a more resilient business model.

Conclusion

Restaurant failure rate in Canada isn’t a verdict; it’s a signal to grow. The difference between closing doors and scaling up often comes down to control. When you take ownership of your operations, reduce reliance on third-party apps, and connect directly with your customers, you pave the way for long-term success. 

With iOrders, you gain the tools to optimize, save, and grow on your terms. It’s time to build a more resilient, profitable future, starting with your digital presence. Ready to take back control? Book a demo today.

FAQs

1. Why does it matter if third-party apps control my customer data?

If you don’t own the data, you can’t directly reach your customers. That means no personalized offers, no insights into preferences, and no lasting customer relationships.

2. How do loyalty programs help turn one-time guests into regulars?

Rewards like points, discounts, or exclusive perks make customers feel appreciated, giving them a reason to return, engage, and eventually recommend your restaurant to others.

3. What are “Managed Marketing Services”?

These are expert-run campaigns that utilize your customer data to send targeted promotions, such as emails or SMS, to the right people at the right time, saving you time and boosting results.

4. How can I grow my own customer community without third-party apps?

Collect data directly through branded online orders, loyalty sign-ups, or in-store touchpoints. Then use it to connect, share your story, and build genuine guest loyalty.

5. What’s the benefit of owning my customer database?

Full control. You can analyze spending patterns, target your top guests, and run personalized campaigns that increase loyalty and revenue, without relying on outside platforms.

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